Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#71
−1.5 pts · likely #45–99
Strength of schedule
37.7
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
23.1
#39
Record SOS
0.565
Opp. 60.4% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
35.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +7.0 | +1.9 | 0.498 | 2 | +13.9 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | +6.9 | −1.9 | 0.393 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +13.9 | −1.9 | 0.583 | 1 | −5.1 |
| 5 | at Portland State | L 27-35 | −8.3 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.130
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.589
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40