Portland State
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#101
−6.5 pts · likely #65–118
Strength of schedule
40.0
#13 of 130
Strength of victory
19.0
#56
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 52.9% · Opp. opp. 57.8%
Remaining SOS
37.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Montana | L 16-53 | +12.7 | +1.9 | 0.648 | 1 | −20.6 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 35-27 | +0.1 | −1.9 | 0.231 | 3 | +4.6 |
| 7 | vs Weber State | L 7-42 | +12.0 | −1.9 | 0.531 | 1 | −24.4 |
| 8 | at Idaho | L 21-56 | +12.8 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.627
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.115
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 6-52
- Wk 6: vs Lincoln University (CA)DII · W 48-6