Montana
Big Sky · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 71% of the time
Power
#12
+12.5 pts · likely #4–32
Strength of schedule
32.0
#52 of 130
Strength of victory
15.2
#70
Record SOS
0.513
Opp. 50.6% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
50.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 47-0 | −3.5 | −1.9 | 0.165 | 3 | +29.7 |
| 2 | vs South Dakota | W 24-7 | −0.6 | −1.9 | 0.217 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | W 49-14 | −5.0 | +1.9 | 0.206 | 3 | +29.2 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | W 53-16 | −4.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.155
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.625
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.560
- Wk 14: at North Dakota State · p 0.690