Indiana State
MVFC · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−7.7 pts · likely #78–120
Strength of schedule
45.2
#1 of 130
Strength of victory
11.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.593
Opp. 62.3% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
17.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Alabama | W 17-14 OT | −6.5 | −1.9 | 0.119 | 3 | −5.4 |
| 3 | vs Montana | L 14-49 | +12.2 | −1.9 | 0.536 | 1 | −24.4 |
| 5 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-20 | +8.8 | +1.9 | 0.547 | 1 | +3.1 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 26-31 | +16.1 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.097
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.253
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 0-56