North Dakota State
MVFC · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 28% of the time
Power
#10
+13.1 pts · likely #3–29
Strength of schedule
28.0
#81 of 130
Strength of victory
23.2
#38
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
54.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −12.2 | −1.9 | 0.059 | 4 | +22.1 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +5.0 | −1.9 | 0.346 | 2 | +36.1 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | −0.3 | +1.9 | 0.309 | 2 | +17.6 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-14 | +5.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.462
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.383
- Wk 14: vs Montana · p 0.585
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.489
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.670
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.701
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31