South Dakota
MVFC · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#70
−1.3 pts · likely #47–98
Strength of schedule
43.7
#5 of 130
Strength of victory
24.5
#35
Record SOS
0.580
Opp. 61.4% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
44.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Montana | L 7-24 | +14.0 | +1.9 | 0.679 | 1 | −2.6 |
| 3 | vs Cal Poly | W 38-21 | −9.9 | −1.9 | 0.079 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota State | L 17-34 | +14.0 | −1.9 | 0.584 | 1 | −5.8 |
| 6 | at South Dakota State | L 3-28 | +14.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.484
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.415
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-34