Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−10.9 pts · likely #92–125
Strength of schedule
36.7
#26 of 130
Strength of victory
15.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.448
Opp. 40.8% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
32.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 28-27 | −4.3 | −1.9 | 0.151 | 3 | −4.3 |
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 21-38 | −1.3 | +1.9 | 0.283 | 2 | −16.4 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-49 | +15.2 | −1.9 | 0.616 | 1 | −15.7 |
| 6 | at Northern Arizona | L 29-31 | −0.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.525
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.119
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-35