Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#36
+5.1 pts · likely #20–63
Strength of schedule
40.8
#11 of 130
Strength of victory
31.9
#10
Record SOS
0.555
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
52.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +16.0 | +1.9 | 0.728 | 1 | −15.6 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +13.4 | −1.9 | 0.568 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +8.4 | −1.9 | 0.433 | 2 | +21.3 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 19-14 | +3.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.596
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.451
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24