Northern Iowa
MVFC · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#29
+7.2 pts · likely #14–54
Strength of schedule
34.6
#33 of 130
Strength of victory
22.9
#40
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 52.4% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
29.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 27-29 | +6.3 | +1.9 | 0.479 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 3 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-37 | +14.4 | −1.9 | 0.595 | 1 | −3.7 |
| 4 | at Western Illinois | W 52-17 | −10.1 | +1.9 | 0.122 | 3 | +24.3 |
| 5 | vs Indiana State | W 20-14 | −8.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at South Dakota · p 0.298
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 17-48