Northwestern State
Southland · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#81
−3.4 pts · likely #55–107
Strength of schedule
27.1
#89 of 130
Strength of victory
17.7
#62
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 39.7% · Opp. opp. 48.7%
Remaining SOS
64.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +12.4 | +1.9 | 0.641 | 1 | −20.6 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −3.8 | 0.0 | 0.192 | 3 | −25.7 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −11.3 | −1.9 | 0.066 | 4 | −4.8 |
| 5 | vs Nicholls State | W 36-33 | −9.8 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.583
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.701
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64