Nicholls State
Southland · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−8.8 pts · likely #81–122
Strength of schedule
33.6
#41 of 130
Strength of victory
11.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.490
Opp. 49.3% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
35.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 16-42 | +12.9 | +1.9 | 0.653 | 1 | −10.9 |
| 4 | vs Jacksonville State | L 21-52 | +10.6 | −1.9 | 0.493 | 2 | −22.2 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | L 33-36 | −4.9 | +1.9 | 0.208 | 3 | −4.5 |
| 6 | at Houston Christian | W 19-17 | −11.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.226
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.482
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 7-48
- Wk 2: at UL MonroeFBS · L 7-35