Eastern Illinois
OVC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−8.1 pts · likely #79–122
Strength of schedule
22.9
#115 of 130
Strength of victory
12.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 41.1% · Opp. opp. 49.0%
Remaining SOS
50.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-4
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Chattanooga | L 20-38 | +12.8 | −1.9 | 0.551 | 1 | −8.4 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 7-35 | +0.8 | +1.9 | 0.334 | 2 | −24.2 |
| 4 | at Murray State | W 35-21 | −12.7 | +1.9 | 0.090 | 4 | +3.0 |
| 6 | vs Northwestern State | W 35-27 | −4.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.560
- Wk 12: at UT Martin · p 0.456
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 27-34