Murray State
OVC · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−12.9 pts · likely #99–128
Strength of schedule
33.2
#45 of 130
Strength of victory
26.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.543
Opp. 60.2% · Opp. opp. 42.4%
Remaining SOS
34.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | L 3-34 | +11.2 | −1.9 | 0.509 | 1 | −22.2 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 21-35 | −9.6 | −1.9 | 0.082 | 4 | −24.0 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 14-48 | +9.1 | +1.9 | 0.554 | 1 | −22.9 |
| 6 | vs UT Martin | L 16-45 | +3.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Robert Morris · p 0.030
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.658
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 0-31