UT Martin
OVC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#38
+4.7 pts · likely #20–68
Strength of schedule
16.2
#127 of 130
Strength of victory
12.7
#78
Record SOS
0.407
Opp. 34.4% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
18.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Western Illinois | W 42-25 | −12.3 | −1.9 | 0.058 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 2 | at Missouri State | L 30-35 | +0.2 | +1.9 | 0.319 | 2 | −3.0 |
| 4 | vs Lindenwood | W 56-26 | −1.8 | −1.9 | 0.195 | 3 | +24.6 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 45-28 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Tennessee State · p 0.270
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.095
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 7-30
- Wk 8: at TennesseeFBS · L 24-65