Central Arkansas
ASUN · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#34
+5.7 pts · likely #18–61
Strength of schedule
30.8
#58 of 130
Strength of victory
27.0
#20
Record SOS
0.503
Opp. 50.6% · Opp. opp. 49.6%
Remaining SOS
43.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | L 14-27 | −1.4 | −1.9 | 0.202 | 3 | −14.8 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 31-16 | −10.2 | +1.9 | 0.120 | 3 | +6.6 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 27-35 | +13.2 | +1.9 | 0.661 | 1 | +7.1 |
| 5 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-20 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.341
- Wk 12: vs Jacksonville State · p 0.531
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ole MissFBS · L 3-59