Morgan State
MEAC · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#99
−7.1 pts · likely #73–114
Strength of schedule
22.5
#102 of 128
Strength of victory
28.3
#37
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 43.1%
Remaining SOS
20.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Carolina A&T | W 17-7 | −6.0 | +2.2 | 0.192 | 3 | +5.0 |
| 3 | at Towson | W 41-26 | +0.5 | +2.2 | 0.334 | 2 | +15.7 |
| 5 | at Villanova | W 38-35 | +7.5 | +2.2 | 0.518 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 28-27 | −8.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Delaware State · p 0.193
- Wk 11: vs Norfolk State · p 0.111
- Wk 12: at North Carolina Central · p 0.304
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 7-70
- Wk 2: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 55-0