Towson
CAA · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#118
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#72
−1.4 pts · likely #44–98
Strength of schedule
26.3
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
1.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 45.5% · Opp. opp. 48.7%
Remaining SOS
29.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Maine | L 18-21 | −9.4 | −2.2 | 0.081 | 4 | −12.4 |
| 3 | vs Morgan State | L 26-41 | −8.6 | −2.2 | 0.090 | 4 | −24.2 |
| 4 | at Delaware State | L 28-33 | −6.9 | +2.2 | 0.176 | 3 | −8.9 |
| 5 | at Monmouth | L 40-41 | +9.6 | +2.2 | 0.577 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Sacred Heart · p 0.254
- Wk 11: at Rhode Island · p 0.425
- Wk 12: vs Elon · p 0.194
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NavyFBS · L 15-42
- Wk 2: at South CarolinaFBS · L 9-45