Stony Brook
CAA · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#44
+4.5 pts · likely #23–68
Strength of schedule
26.8
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
29.8
#32
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 54.3% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
26.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 36-32 | +3.6 | −2.2 | 0.304 | 2 | +6.0 |
| 1 | at Delaware State | L 34-41 | −8.3 | +2.2 | 0.152 | 3 | −10.9 |
| 3 | vs Rhode Island | W 56-24 | +7.5 | −2.2 | 0.403 | 2 | +33.9 |
| 4 | at Fordham | W 31-16 | −6.4 | +2.2 | 0.185 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Campbell · p 0.546
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.237
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.013
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 17-41