Fordham
Patriot · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#103
−7.7 pts · likely #74–115
Strength of schedule
33.4
#55 of 128
Strength of victory
24.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.549
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
22.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colgate | L 14-24 | +8.8 | −2.2 | 0.436 | 2 | −4.4 |
| 3 | at William & Mary | W 52-27 | −4.9 | +2.2 | 0.213 | 3 | +19.4 |
| 4 | vs Stony Brook | L 16-31 | +4.3 | −2.2 | 0.320 | 2 | −12.6 |
| 5 | at Lehigh | L 0-34 | +11.3 | +2.2 | 0.619 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Bucknell · p 0.138
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.131
- Wk 12: at Holy Cross · p 0.399
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at North Dakota StateFBS · L 0-38
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 7-45