Villanova
Patriot · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#33
+7.0 pts · likely #17–56
Strength of schedule
25.1
#91 of 128
Strength of victory
28.6
#36
Record SOS
0.471
Opp. 46.4% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
25.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −10.6 | +2.2 | 0.119 | 3 | −5.6 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | −10.2 | −2.2 | 0.074 | 4 | −12.7 |
| 3 | at Long Island | W 20-16 | −4.2 | +2.2 | 0.228 | 3 | +2.8 |
| 4 | vs Colgate | L 21-28 | +7.7 | −2.2 | 0.406 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.248
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.399
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.131
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 13-59