Lafayette
Patriot · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#73
−1.7 pts · likely #47–97
Strength of schedule
20.5
#109 of 128
Strength of victory
14.9
#81
Record SOS
0.455
Opp. 44.6% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
41.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Marist | W 13-9 | −8.3 | −2.2 | 0.093 | 4 | −6.0 |
| 3 | at Columbia | L 34-40 OT | −6.4 | +2.2 | 0.185 | 3 | −6.8 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 30-38 | +2.5 | −2.2 | 0.278 | 2 | −5.8 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 31-40 | +0.3 | −2.2 | 0.230 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at William & Mary · p 0.158
- Wk 11: at Colgate · p 0.543
- Wk 12: vs Lehigh · p 0.538
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UConnFBS · L 7-56