Marist
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−8.0 pts · likely #75–115
Strength of schedule
12.5
#127 of 128
Strength of victory
7.3
#95
Record SOS
0.402
Opp. 35.7% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
7.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-4
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Haven | L 21-22 | −11.7 | +2.2 | 0.104 | 3 | −10.4 |
| 2 | at Lafayette | L 9-13 | −2.0 | +2.2 | 0.276 | 2 | −3.7 |
| 4 | vs Presbyterian | W 42-7 | −10.6 | −2.2 | 0.070 | 4 | +20.0 |
| 5 | at Stetson | W 28-14 | −24.2 | +2.2 | 0.018 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Morehead State · p 0.006
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.210
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.009
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Franklin PierceDII · W 27-18