San Diego
Pioneer · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−8.8 pts · likely #81–116
Strength of schedule
22.9
#100 of 128
Strength of victory
12.8
#85
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 55.2% · Opp. opp. 38.3%
Remaining SOS
6.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 17-49 | +3.3 | −2.2 | 0.298 | 2 | −28.7 |
| 2 | at Idaho State | L 17-59 | +6.8 | +2.2 | 0.499 | 2 | −24.5 |
| 3 | at Cal Poly | W 38-35 | +0.3 | +2.2 | 0.329 | 2 | +3.2 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 17-50 | −3.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Drake · p 0.124
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.008