Idaho State
Big Sky · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#26
+8.4 pts · likely #14–48
Strength of schedule
28.4
#76 of 128
Strength of victory
21.1
#62
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 39.7% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
67.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs VMI | W 38-10 | −21.9 | −2.2 | 0.012 | 4 | +5.3 |
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 59-17 | −8.5 | −2.2 | 0.091 | 4 | +24.1 |
| 4 | at Southern Utah | W 28-24 | +9.8 | +2.2 | 0.580 | 1 | +15.2 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | L 31-38 | +11.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.792
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.760
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.464
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Utah StateFBS · W 29-17