Weber State
Big Sky · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#23
+8.9 pts · likely #14–47
Strength of schedule
39.0
#32 of 128
Strength of victory
32.7
#21
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 45.2% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
38.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 30-29 | −0.7 | +2.2 | 0.304 | 2 | +2.1 |
| 1 | at Southern Utah | L 42-47 | +8.7 | +2.2 | 0.552 | 1 | +6.2 |
| 3 | vs Northwestern State | W 49-20 | −16.8 | −2.2 | 0.029 | 4 | +10.2 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | L 41-44 | −6.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.647
- Wk 12: vs Utah Tech · p 0.128
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at ColoradoFBS · L 21-52