Idaho
Big Sky · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#19
+10.2 pts · likely #11–42
Strength of schedule
52.0
#5 of 128
Strength of victory
58.1
#1
Record SOS
0.588
Opp. 62.0% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
39.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Cal Poly | L 34-38 | −3.0 | +2.2 | 0.253 | 2 | −3.8 |
| 2 | vs Lamar | L 17-23 | +15.0 | −2.2 | 0.602 | 1 | +6.9 |
| 3 | vs Abilene Christian | L 39-41 | +9.8 | −2.2 | 0.464 | 2 | +6.8 |
| 5 | vs Montana State | W 35-34 | +24.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.281
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.354
- Wk 12: at Idaho State · p 0.546
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UtahFBS · L 14-66