Montana
Big Sky · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#7
+16.7 pts · likely #4–20
Strength of schedule
35.3
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
29.8
#31
Record SOS
0.479
Opp. 45.2% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
48.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Utah | W 28-21 | +8.6 | −2.2 | 0.432 | 2 | +14.1 |
| 1 | vs Drake | W 45-10 | −9.5 | −2.2 | 0.080 | 4 | +23.4 |
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 35-14 | −6.0 | −2.2 | 0.122 | 3 | +13.8 |
| 4 | at UC Davis | W 62-22 | +8.6 | +2.2 | 0.548 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.148
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.429
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.866
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Oregon StateFBS · L 17-52