Drake
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#112
−9.5 pts · likely #85–118
Strength of schedule
24.2
#94 of 128
Strength of victory
7.3
#96
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 40.6%
Remaining SOS
19.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 10-45 | +16.5 | +2.2 | 0.745 | 1 | −16.2 |
| 2 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-56 | +10.4 | +2.2 | 0.597 | 1 | −21.6 |
| 4 | at Davidson | W 51-32 | −27.8 | +2.2 | 0.009 | 4 | −5.9 |
| 5 | vs Dayton | W 30-22 | −1.5 | −2.2 | 0.196 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs San Diego · p 0.074
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.315
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs South Dakota MinesDII · L 35-38