Northern Iowa
MVFC · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#17
+11.3 pts · likely #9–41
Strength of schedule
50.1
#7 of 128
Strength of victory
43.7
#4
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 53.2% · Opp. opp. 57.1%
Remaining SOS
56.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 24-34 | +0.5 | +2.2 | 0.333 | 2 | −6.1 |
| 2 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −8.9 | −2.2 | 0.087 | 4 | +23.4 |
| 4 | vs Illinois State | W 28-21 | +17.9 | −2.2 | 0.677 | 1 | +20.6 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota | W 24-17 | +20.1 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota State · p 0.759
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.808
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.126
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at IowaFBS · L 0-55