North Dakota
MVFC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 31% of the time
Power
#6
+18.4 pts · likely #2–15
Strength of schedule
45.5
#16 of 128
Strength of victory
30.1
#29
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 58.1% · Opp. opp. 53.1%
Remaining SOS
54.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 42-21 | −4.3 | −2.2 | 0.147 | 3 | +15.7 |
| 1 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 62-26 | +1.6 | −2.2 | 0.258 | 2 | +33.5 |
| 2 | at Portland State | W 47-23 | −3.8 | +2.2 | 0.236 | 3 | +21.2 |
| 4 | at Indiana State | W 42-35 | −0.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.646
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.438
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 7-34