South Dakota
MVFC · 7-2 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 7.7% of the time
Power
#5
+18.6 pts · likely #2–15
Strength of schedule
47.8
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
37.4
#10
Record SOS
0.549
Opp. 54.5% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
63.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 59-20 | +10.3 | −2.2 | 0.478 | 2 | +40.4 |
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 38-23 | −0.4 | +2.2 | 0.313 | 2 | +16.1 |
| 2 | vs Eastern Washington | W 41-23 | +2.5 | −2.2 | 0.277 | 2 | +17.8 |
| 4 | at Youngstown State | L 28-47 | +22.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.521
- Wk 12: at Illinois State · p 0.748
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 24-38