Indiana State
MVFC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#62
−0.3 pts · likely #40–92
Strength of schedule
54.0
#2 of 128
Strength of victory
19.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.575
Opp. 61.2% · Opp. opp. 50.1%
Remaining SOS
45.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-5
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-23 | +1.7 | −2.2 | 0.260 | 2 | −2.5 |
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-35 | −0.3 | +2.2 | 0.315 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 39-16 | −11.3 | −2.2 | 0.064 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | L 35-42 | +19.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.438
- Wk 11: vs Murray State · p 0.075
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.841
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 19-44