Murray State
MVFC · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#101
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#113
−9.7 pts · likely #85–119
Strength of schedule
53.6
#3 of 128
Strength of victory
6.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.560
Opp. 58.8% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
55.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 14-28 | −2.1 | −2.2 | 0.185 | 3 | −16.9 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 27-18 | −11.7 | −2.2 | 0.060 | 4 | −5.3 |
| 4 | vs Southern Illinois | L 6-46 | +6.7 | −2.2 | 0.381 | 2 | −28.5 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 28-55 | +19.3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.807
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.334
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.521
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 14-38
- Wk 3: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 0-59