Abilene Christian
UAC · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#18
+10.8 pts · likely #9–40
Strength of schedule
43.2
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
31.9
#22
Record SOS
0.575
Opp. 59.6% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
51.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lamar | L 14-21 | +15.3 | +2.2 | 0.719 | 1 | +10.0 |
| 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 7-26 | +20.7 | −2.2 | 0.741 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 3 | at Idaho | W 41-39 | +10.3 | +2.2 | 0.593 | 1 | +14.3 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 17-34 | +7.5 | −2.2 | 0.401 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.699
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.634
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.218
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-33