West Florida
UAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#67
−0.8 pts · likely #40–96
Strength of schedule
41.8
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
39.4
#8
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 52.8% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
40.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against West Florida. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 42-14 | −0.2 | +2.2 | 0.318 | 2 | +27.1 |
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +10.0 | −2.2 | 0.469 | 2 | +9.5 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | L 16-38 | +10.3 | −2.2 | 0.477 | 2 | −12.7 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 20-17 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.423
- Wk 11: vs Tarleton State · p 0.590
- Wk 12: at West Georgia · p 0.190
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs West AlabamaDII · W 37-3