William & Mary
Patriot · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#102
−7.7 pts · likely #76–115
Strength of schedule
32.3
#58 of 128
Strength of victory
33.4
#18
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 50.8% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
20.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | W 35-32 | +7.5 | +2.2 | 0.520 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 1 | vs Delaware State | W 22-15 | −4.9 | −2.2 | 0.138 | 3 | −1.0 |
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 20-44 | +12.4 | +2.2 | 0.649 | 1 | −10.4 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | L 27-52 | −10.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.177
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.083
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.350
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at DukeFBS · L 7-62