North Carolina Central
MEAC · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#53
+1.0 pts · likely #37–86
Strength of schedule
20.4
#110 of 128
Strength of victory
17.2
#70
Record SOS
0.505
Opp. 52.1% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
25.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Texas Southern | L 30-42 | −14.1 | +2.2 | 0.078 | 4 | −20.0 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 30-22 | −7.4 | −2.2 | 0.104 | 3 | −1.2 |
| 3 | at Gardner-Webb | L 20-44 | +0.2 | +2.2 | 0.327 | 2 | −18.8 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | L 31-38 | +8.5 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Norfolk State · p 0.177
- Wk 11: at South Carolina State · p 0.451
- Wk 12: vs Morgan State · p 0.125
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Elizabeth City StateDII · W 27-6
- Wk 4: at East CarolinaFBS · L 9-42