Howard
MEAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#104
−7.9 pts · likely #77–116
Strength of schedule
23.9
#95 of 128
Strength of victory
21.2
#61
Record SOS
0.479
Opp. 48.0% · Opp. opp. 47.7%
Remaining SOS
21.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Howard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Alabama A&M | W 31-24 | +5.5 | 0.0 | 0.407 | 2 | +9.7 |
| 1 | vs Richmond | L 21-28 | +1.0 | −2.2 | 0.245 | 3 | −8.3 |
| 5 | vs (N) Hampton | W 27-13 | −21.9 | 0.0 | 0.018 | 4 | −7.6 |
| 6 | at Penn | L 20-24 | +0.2 | +2.2 | 0.326 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs South Carolina State · p 0.338
- Wk 11: vs Delaware State · p 0.123
- Wk 12: at Norfolk State · p 0.177
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 0-55
- Wk 4: at RutgersFBS · L 7-58
- Wk 7: vs Morehouse CollegeDII · W 31-17