North Carolina A&T
CAA · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#97
−7.1 pts · likely #75–114
Strength of schedule
24.9
#92 of 128
Strength of victory
18.5
#68
Record SOS
0.483
Opp. 47.0% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
32.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 7-17 | −7.2 | −2.2 | 0.106 | 3 | −19.2 |
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | L 22-30 | −0.6 | +2.2 | 0.306 | 2 | −4.9 |
| 3 | at Campbell | L 14-42 | +7.3 | +2.2 | 0.513 | 1 | −18.3 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 22-18 | +5.6 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Monmouth · p 0.538
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.026
- Wk 12: vs UAlbany · p 0.408
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia StateFBS · L 10-59