Elon
CAA · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#71
−1.4 pts · likely #43–97
Strength of schedule
19.5
#114 of 128
Strength of victory
10.2
#92
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 41.2% · Opp. opp. 45.9%
Remaining SOS
23.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Davidson | W 38-0 | −26.8 | +2.2 | 0.011 | 4 | +10.1 |
| 2 | at Rhode Island | L 10-31 | +2.5 | +2.2 | 0.384 | 2 | −15.0 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-21 | −3.0 | −2.2 | 0.167 | 3 | −1.9 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 43-17 | −5.6 | −2.2 | 0.127 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Hampton · p 0.013
- Wk 11: vs Campbell · p 0.429
- Wk 12: at Towson · p 0.266
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Glenville StateDII · W 42-7
- Wk 7: at StanfordFBS · L 7-34