Tennessee State
OVC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#113
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−11.6 pts · likely #92–120
Strength of schedule
23.5
#98 of 128
Strength of victory
12.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 49.2% · Opp. opp. 43.8%
Remaining SOS
28.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jackson State | L 24-26 | −0.5 | −2.2 | 0.215 | 3 | −5.3 |
| 2 | at Alabama A&M | L 3-30 | +1.6 | +2.2 | 0.362 | 2 | −22.2 |
| 3 | at Florida A&M | W 29-26 | −12.9 | +2.2 | 0.091 | 4 | −8.3 |
| 5 | at Western Illinois | L 21-28 | +1.4 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.267
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.201
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.393
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at GeorgiaFBS · L 3-63