Western Illinois
OVC · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#54
+0.9 pts · likely #37–86
Strength of schedule
28.2
#77 of 128
Strength of victory
15.3
#77
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 48.0% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
33.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Illinois State | L 10-41 | +14.2 | −2.2 | 0.583 | 1 | −17.4 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −24.6 | −2.2 | 0.008 | 4 | +8.4 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | L 20-23 | +4.3 | +2.2 | 0.431 | 2 | +2.7 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee State | W 28-21 | −12.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.294
- Wk 11: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.285
- Wk 12: at Lindenwood · p 0.412
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · W 65-14
- Wk 2: at WisconsinFBS · L 9-36