McNeese
Southland · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#81
−3.1 pts · likely #53–104
Strength of schedule
38.1
#35 of 128
Strength of victory
11.0
#90
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
47.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against McNeese. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 27-38 | +23.2 | −2.2 | 0.794 | 1 | +8.4 |
| 2 | vs Tarleton State | L 24-27 | +16.0 | −2.2 | 0.628 | 1 | +9.9 |
| 3 | at UTRGV | L 10-27 | −1.4 | +2.2 | 0.288 | 2 | −15.1 |
| 4 | vs East Texas A&M | W 27-24 | −3.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Houston Christian · p 0.349
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.455
- Wk 12: vs Lamar · p 0.611
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Texas WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 52-0
- Wk 5: at LSUFBS · L 14-63