UTRGV
Southland · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#61
−0.1 pts · likely #39–93
Strength of schedule
34.7
#50 of 128
Strength of victory
27.7
#38
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 44.9% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
39.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UTRGV. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Nicholls State | L 28-31 | −7.4 | +2.2 | 0.168 | 3 | −8.0 |
| 3 | vs McNeese | W 27-10 | −1.0 | −2.2 | 0.204 | 3 | +11.8 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | L 17-20 | −4.2 | +2.2 | 0.227 | 3 | −5.1 |
| 6 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 13-3 | +6.8 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Northwestern State · p 0.053
- Wk 11: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.768
- Wk 12: at Houston Christian · p 0.349
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs UT Permian BasinDII · W 44-0
- Wk 1: at UTSAFBS · L 16-45