East Texas A&M
Southland · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#87
−4.2 pts · likely #59–107
Strength of schedule
35.3
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
21.6
#59
Record SOS
0.505
Opp. 50.2% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
48.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 7-44 | +21.1 | +2.2 | 0.834 | 1 | −11.4 |
| 1 | at Mercer | L 15-23 | +10.9 | +2.2 | 0.609 | 1 | +4.0 |
| 2 | vs Northwestern State | W 38-14 | −15.8 | −2.2 | 0.033 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 4 | at McNeese | L 24-27 | −2.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Nicholls State · p 0.185
- Wk 11: at Lamar · p 0.718
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.560
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 0-42