Incarnate Word
Southland · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#13
+13.4 pts · likely #6–32
Strength of schedule
41.5
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
17.6
#69
Record SOS
0.585
Opp. 61.6% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
27.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Arizona | L 28-38 | +11.2 | +2.2 | 0.618 | 1 | +4.2 |
| 3 | vs Houston Christian | W 30-23 OT | −0.6 | −2.2 | 0.212 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 26-28 | +22.9 | +2.2 | 0.864 | 1 | +21.6 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 35-38 | +15.4 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.455
- Wk 11: vs Nicholls State · p 0.117
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.238
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Oklahoma PanhandleNon-NCAA · W 76-14
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 10-63