Nicholls State
Southland · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#98
−7.1 pts · likely #70–114
Strength of schedule
31.6
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
10.5
#91
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 49.9% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
39.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 44-10 | −19.5 | −2.2 | 0.019 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 2 | vs UTRGV | W 31-28 | +1.1 | −2.2 | 0.247 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | L 18-49 | +14.0 | −2.2 | 0.576 | 1 | −18.1 |
| 5 | at Houston Christian | L 2-16 | +0.4 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.157
- Wk 11: at Incarnate Word · p 0.673
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.342
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 3-71
- Wk 3: at Sam HoustonFBS · L 0-59