Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−21.9 pts · likely #119–128
Strength of schedule
17.3
#118 of 128
Strength of victory
19.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.475
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 49.0%
Remaining SOS
22.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 10-44 | −8.7 | +2.2 | 0.146 | 3 | −39.0 |
| 4 | at Alabama State | L 15-41 | −0.3 | +2.2 | 0.314 | 2 | −23.6 |
| 5 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 28-27 | +0.5 | −2.2 | 0.235 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 6 | at Texas Southern | W 38-34 | −8.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Jackson State · p 0.289
- Wk 11: at Florida A&M · p 0.086
- Wk 12: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.291
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Sacramento StateFBS · L 0-52
- Wk 2: vs (N) Lincoln (PA)DII · W 31-20
- Wk 3: vs Delta StateDII · L 6-21