Alcorn State
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#82
−3.1 pts · likely #49–106
Strength of schedule
19.9
#113 of 128
Strength of victory
12.5
#86
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
12.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 53-51 OT | +0.2 | 0.0 | 0.276 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 3 | at North Alabama | L 20-38 | +2.9 | +2.2 | 0.396 | 2 | −12.3 |
| 4 | vs Texas Southern | W 43-40 OT | −11.8 | −2.2 | 0.060 | 4 | −9.1 |
| 5 | at Grambling State | L 59-63 | −9.1 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Florida A&M · p 0.048
- Wk 11: at Southern · p 0.137
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.197
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Southern MissFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 56-7
- Wk 6: vs Arkansas BaptistNon-NCAA · W 63-7