Arkansas-Pine Bluff
SWAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#68
−0.9 pts · likely #38–98
Strength of schedule
15.7
#122 of 128
Strength of victory
13.5
#83
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 40.7% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
15.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Alcorn State | L 51-53 OT | −4.4 | 0.0 | 0.181 | 3 | −5.1 |
| 5 | at Southern | W 41-10 | −5.6 | +2.2 | 0.200 | 3 | +24.5 |
| 7 | vs Alabama State | L 15-21 | −1.2 | −2.2 | 0.201 | 3 | −7.8 |
| 8 | at Florida A&M | W 31-28 | −14.3 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Grambling State · p 0.156
- Wk 11: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.191
- Wk 12: at Texas Southern · p 0.116
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs (N) Morehouse CollegeDII · W 35-15
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 14-54
- Wk 3: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 41-35